Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Thompson 52.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 24-12 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 74.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 77.1%
Neutral zone
Stajan 76.0%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Stajan
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
24
(36 meetings)
12
24
Stajan
Thompson
Last 10: Stajan 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
7
Stajan
Thompson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
6
Stajan
Thompson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
7
11
Stajan
Thompson
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.9%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
54.8% (135)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
47.9% (1,381)
-1.8%
On power play, Thompson has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Stajan
Thompson
Home
51.3% (3,098)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Stajan
Thompson
P1
50.3%
53.2%
P2
48.5%
52.9%
P3
49.4%
52.8%
OT
53.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 05:33 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 14:04 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |