Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.4% vs Thompson 53.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 84.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 64.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 72.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Stajan
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Stajan
Thompson
Last 5: Stajan 0-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Stajan
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Stajan
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Stajan
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (731)
56.1% (478)
-3.7%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
57.1% (14)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
47.6% (164)
+0.5%
On power play, Thompson has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Stajan is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Stajan shoots left. Thompson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Stajan
Thompson
Home
52.9% (427)
55.2% (315)
Away
50.2% (418)
53.3% (349)
By Period
Stajan
Thompson
P1
49.6%
57.5%
P2
53.2%
54.2%
P3
51.5%
51.1%
OT
100.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 14:28 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |