Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.3% vs Thompson 52.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 63.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 77.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 68.9%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Stajan
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Stajan
Thompson
Last 10: Stajan 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Stajan
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Stajan
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
4
Stajan
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (503)
54.4% (870)
-3.3%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
45.8% (24)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
45.1% (162)
+1.6%
On even strength, Thompson has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Stajan is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Stajan shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Stajan
Thompson
Home
55.1% (336)
55.3% (510)
Away
44.4% (266)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Stajan
Thompson
P1
51.3%
53.5%
P2
47.7%
52.2%
P3
52.4%
52.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 04:41 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |