Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.1% vs Thompson 52.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 56.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 78.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 66.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Stajan
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stajan
Thompson
Last 7: Stajan 2-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Stajan
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Stajan
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (627)
56.3% (199)
-5.4%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
66.7% (6)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (126)
35.0% (40)
+12.6%
On power play, Thompson has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Stajan shoots left. Thompson is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Stajan
Thompson
Home
52.4% (401)
59.5% (116)
Away
47.7% (367)
47.3% (129)
By Period
Stajan
Thompson
P1
56.3%
47.4%
P2
45.5%
56.2%
P3
48.9%
55.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |