Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 58.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 72.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Stajan
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stajan
Dowd
Last 7: Stajan 5-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Stajan
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
1
Stajan
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
52.4% (6,009)
-2.2%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
56.1% (164)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
44.1% (1,635)
+2.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Stajan
Dowd
Home
51.3% (3,098)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Stajan
Dowd
P1
50.3%
51.7%
P2
48.5%
50.4%
P3
49.4%
50.3%
OT
53.3%
45.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |