Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Petan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.1% vs Petan 47.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Petan 80.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 68.1%
Neutral zone
Petan 51.1%
Result
Nic Petan favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Stajan
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Stajan
Petan
Last 7: Stajan 3-4 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Petan
1
2
Stajan
Petan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Petan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Petan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (627)
46.5% (299)
+4.4%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
40.0% (15)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (126)
0.0% (1)
+47.6%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Stajan shoots left. Petan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Stajan
Petan
Home
52.4% (401)
45.8% (131)
Away
47.7% (367)
46.2% (184)
By Period
Stajan
Petan
P1
56.3%
52.6%
P2
45.5%
46.2%
P3
48.9%
37.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |