Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 48.9%). Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 59.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 74.4%
Neutral zone
Stajan 61.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Stajan
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Stajan
Bjugstad
Last 10: Stajan 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
2
Stajan
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
4
0
Stajan
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Stajan
Bjugstad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
48.6% (6,634)
+1.6%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
55.2% (829)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
44.3% (614)
+1.8%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Stajan
Bjugstad
Home
51.3% (3,098)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Stajan
Bjugstad
P1
50.3%
49.0%
P2
48.5%
49.1%
P3
49.4%
48.4%
OT
53.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 22, 2013 | OT | 02:20 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 22, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |