Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.3% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 67.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 80.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 52.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Stajan
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stajan
Bjugstad
Last 8: Stajan 5-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stajan
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (503)
47.3% (806)
+3.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
55.0% (149)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
59.0% (39)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Stajan is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Stajan shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Stajan
Bjugstad
Home
55.1% (336)
55.4% (446)
Away
44.4% (266)
43.6% (548)
By Period
Stajan
Bjugstad
P1
51.3%
49.4%
P2
47.7%
48.1%
P3
52.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |