Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 50.0%). Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Bonino 50.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 19-7 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 67.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 54.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 58.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Stajan
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
7
(26 meetings)
19
7
Stajan
Bonino
Last 10: Stajan 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
4
Stajan
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
7
2
Stajan
Bonino
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
10
1
Stajan
Bonino
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
50.6% (8,315)
-0.4%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
54.1% (972)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
44.6% (1,693)
+1.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Stajan
Bonino
Home
51.3% (3,098)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Stajan
Bonino
P1
50.3%
50.6%
P2
48.5%
48.5%
P3
49.4%
51.1%
OT
53.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |