Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.8%). Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 48.2% vs Bonino 48.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 70.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 67.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.7%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Stajan
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stajan
Bonino
Last 7: Stajan 5-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (886)
49.6% (837)
-0.4%
Power Play
37.1% (35)
50.7% (223)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (175)
41.0% (134)
+3.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Stajan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Stajan shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Stajan
Bonino
Home
51.2% (572)
50.7% (564)
Away
44.7% (524)
47.1% (630)
By Period
Stajan
Bonino
P1
48.4%
44.9%
P2
45.2%
50.1%
P3
50.8%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2014 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |