Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.3% vs Bonino 47.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 54.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 75.6%
Neutral zone
Stajan 62.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Stajan
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stajan
Bonino
Last 8: Stajan 5-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
1
Stajan
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (503)
48.2% (926)
+2.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
48.6% (109)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
43.3% (210)
+3.4%
On power play, Bonino has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Stajan is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Stajan shoots left. Bonino is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Stajan
Bonino
Home
55.1% (336)
47.8% (653)
Away
44.4% (266)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Stajan
Bonino
P1
51.3%
45.9%
P2
47.7%
47.0%
P3
52.4%
49.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |