Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 85.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 51.0%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 67.7%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Stajan
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Stajan
Jokinen
Last 10: Stajan 3-7 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
7
Stajan
Jokinen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
5
Stajan
Jokinen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Stajan
Jokinen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
45.8% (3,924)
+4.4%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
50.8% (585)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
42.9% (247)
+3.2%
On power play, Jokinen has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Stajan
Jokinen
Home
51.3% (3,098)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Stajan
Jokinen
P1
50.3%
45.6%
P2
48.5%
47.5%
P3
49.4%
45.4%
OT
53.3%
56.1%
Final 5 min
49.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | OT | 00:13 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |