Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 48.2% vs Jokinen 46.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 77.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 60.0%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 63.9%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Stajan
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Stajan
Jokinen
Last 10: Stajan 3-7 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
7
Stajan
Jokinen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
5
Stajan
Jokinen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Stajan
Jokinen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (886)
45.3% (1,142)
+3.9%
Power Play
37.1% (35)
53.4% (131)
-16.3%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (175)
43.9% (57)
+0.7%
On power play, Jokinen has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Stajan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Stajan shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Stajan
Jokinen
Home
51.2% (572)
48.8% (692)
Away
44.7% (524)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Stajan
Jokinen
P1
48.4%
44.9%
P2
45.2%
45.7%
P3
50.8%
46.9%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | OT | 00:13 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |