Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.6% vs Marleau 51.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 59.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 64.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 54.0%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Stajan
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stajan
Marleau
Last 5: Stajan 4-1 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Marleau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (509)
50.1% (347)
+2.9%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
51.2% (41)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (98)
61.1% (72)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Stajan is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Stajan shoots left. Marleau is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Stajan
Marleau
Home
53.8% (353)
54.8% (263)
Away
49.3% (286)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Stajan
Marleau
P1
52.0%
53.9%
P2
52.0%
47.5%
P3
51.0%
56.8%
OT
75.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.8%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |