Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 48.2% vs Marleau 52.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 51.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 67.2%
Neutral zone
Stajan 52.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Stajan
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stajan
Marleau
Last 9: Stajan 4-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
0
Stajan
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
3
Stajan
Marleau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Stajan
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (886)
56.4% (234)
-7.2%
Power Play
37.1% (35)
60.0% (10)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (175)
39.1% (64)
+5.5%
On power play, Marleau has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Stajan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Stajan shoots left. Marleau is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Stajan
Marleau
Home
51.2% (572)
52.7% (167)
Away
44.7% (524)
53.2% (141)
By Period
Stajan
Marleau
P1
48.4%
51.5%
P2
45.2%
51.2%
P3
50.8%
55.9%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 20, 2014 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |