Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stajan wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 47.6% vs Marleau 50.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 56.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 75.5%
Neutral zone
Stajan 67.0%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Stajan
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stajan
Marleau
Last 5: Stajan 1-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
4
Stajan
Marleau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Marleau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (678)
49.0% (437)
-1.2%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
70.6% (34)
-37.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (101)
53.7% (54)
-8.2%
On power play, Marleau has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Stajan is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Stajan shoots left. Marleau is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Stajan
Marleau
Home
49.0% (392)
55.1% (234)
Away
45.7% (396)
47.4% (291)
By Period
Stajan
Marleau
P1
47.9%
56.3%
P2
49.8%
48.5%
P3
43.4%
46.5%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |