Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.1% vs Marleau 52.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 74.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 80.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 56.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Stajan
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stajan
Marleau
Last 9: Stajan 4-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Stajan
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
2
Stajan
Marleau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (627)
51.6% (184)
-0.7%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
64.3% (28)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (126)
66.7% (3)
-19.1%
On power play, Marleau has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Stajan shoots left. Marleau is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Stajan
Marleau
Home
52.4% (401)
59.0% (105)
Away
47.7% (367)
48.2% (110)
By Period
Stajan
Marleau
P1
56.3%
60.7%
P2
45.5%
45.6%
P3
48.9%
55.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
64.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 08:44 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |