Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.0%). Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.1% vs Berglund 50.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 52.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 69.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 59.5%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Stajan
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Stajan
Berglund
Last 7: Stajan 1-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Stajan
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
4
Stajan
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (627)
50.5% (982)
+0.4%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
55.7% (79)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (126)
40.7% (108)
+6.9%
On power play, Berglund has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Stajan shoots left. Berglund is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Stajan
Berglund
Home
52.4% (401)
50.7% (548)
Away
47.7% (367)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Stajan
Berglund
P1
56.3%
49.6%
P2
45.5%
50.5%
P3
48.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |