Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.2% vs Zacha 44.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 80.1%
Defensive zone
Stajan 61.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Stajan
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stajan
Zacha
Last 5: Stajan 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Stajan
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (395)
43.9% (643)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
48.9% (45)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
37.8% (37)
+9.8%
On power play, Stajan has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stajan is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Stajan shoots left. Zacha is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Stajan
Zacha
Home
50.8% (238)
44.6% (397)
Away
52.0% (244)
43.0% (328)
By Period
Stajan
Zacha
P1
56.3%
43.5%
P2
48.8%
44.6%
P3
49.4%
43.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 5, 2017 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |