Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dupuis on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stajan wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dupuis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.4% vs Dupuis 47.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dupuis 61.4%
Defensive zone
Dupuis 60.4%
Neutral zone
Dupuis 59.9%
Result
Philippe Dupuis favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Stajan
Dupuis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Stajan
Dupuis
Last 8: Stajan 3-5 Dupuis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dupuis
0
1
Stajan
Dupuis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stajan
Dupuis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dupuis
1
2
Stajan
Dupuis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Dupuis
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (731)
48.0% (256)
+4.4%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
54.5% (11)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
37.1% (62)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dupuis shoots right. Stajan is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Stajan shoots left. Dupuis is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Stajan
Dupuis
Home
52.9% (427)
46.2% (182)
Away
50.2% (418)
46.3% (149)
By Period
Stajan
Dupuis
P1
49.6%
46.7%
P2
53.2%
45.9%
P3
51.5%
46.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Dupuis
50.0%▲
44.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Philippe Dupuis |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Philippe Dupuis |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Philippe Dupuis |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Philippe Dupuis |
| Feb 14, 2011 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Philippe Dupuis |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |