Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs O'Marra 46.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 52.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 88.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 73.6%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Stajan
O'Marra
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Stajan
O'Marra
Last 10: Stajan 7-3 O'Marra
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
1
2
Stajan
O'Marra
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
0
1
Stajan
O'Marra
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
6
0
Stajan
O'Marra
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
O'Marra
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
47.2% (218)
+3.0%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
20.0% (5)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
33.3% (15)
+12.8%
On power play, Stajan has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Marra shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. O'Marra is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Stajan
O'Marra
Home
51.3% (3,098)
52.0% (150)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
35.5% (93)
By Period
Stajan
O'Marra
P1
50.3%
52.2%
P2
48.5%
44.3%
P3
49.4%
38.1%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |