Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stajan wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — O'Marra shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.4% vs O'Marra 45.0% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 72.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 82.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 80.0%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Stajan
O'Marra
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stajan
O'Marra
Last 7: Stajan 5-2 O'Marra
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
1
2
Stajan
O'Marra
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
4
0
Stajan
O'Marra
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
O'Marra
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (731)
43.7% (158)
+8.7%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
20.0% (5)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
36.4% (11)
+11.7%
On power play, Stajan has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Marra shoots right. Stajan is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Stajan shoots left. O'Marra is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Stajan
O'Marra
Home
52.9% (427)
48.1% (108)
Away
50.2% (418)
32.9% (70)
By Period
Stajan
O'Marra
P1
49.6%
51.5%
P2
53.2%
38.7%
P3
51.5%
32.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |