Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Koivu 51.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 31-27 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 52.2%
Neutral zone
Stajan 51.9%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Stajan
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
31
(58 meetings)
27
31
Stajan
Koivu
Last 10: Stajan 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
10
9
Stajan
Koivu
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
6
9
Stajan
Koivu
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
11
13
Stajan
Koivu
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
51.9% (3,221)
-1.7%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
59.3% (437)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
48.0% (764)
-1.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Stajan
Koivu
Home
51.3% (3,098)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Stajan
Koivu
P1
50.3%
51.1%
P2
48.5%
52.6%
P3
49.4%
51.8%
OT
53.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2014 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 2 | 10:55 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 2 | 06:22 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 18:35 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |