Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.4% vs Koivu 52.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 55.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 75.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 52.5%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Stajan
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stajan
Koivu
Last 9: Stajan 6-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
2
Stajan
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (731)
52.7% (873)
-0.3%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
63.1% (168)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
47.9% (267)
+0.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Stajan is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Stajan shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Home / Away
Stajan
Koivu
Home
52.9% (427)
56.7% (601)
Away
50.2% (418)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Stajan
Koivu
P1
49.6%
51.2%
P2
53.2%
55.2%
P3
51.5%
51.3%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |