Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 39-27 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 61.8%
Defensive zone
Stajan 91.6%
Neutral zone
Stajan 77.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Stajan
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
27
(66 meetings)
39
27
Stajan
Gagner
Last 10: Stajan 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
8
14
Stajan
Gagner
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
19
3
Stajan
Gagner
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
12
10
Stajan
Gagner
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
45.4% (4,699)
+4.8%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
51.5% (928)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
35.0% (226)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Stajan
Gagner
Home
51.3% (3,098)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Stajan
Gagner
P1
50.3%
44.6%
P2
48.5%
46.1%
P3
49.4%
47.3%
OT
53.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |