Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stajan wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.4% vs Gagner 44.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 73.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 89.6%
Neutral zone
Stajan 89.6%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Stajan
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Stajan
Gagner
Last 10: Stajan 9-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
4
0
Stajan
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
2
Stajan
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (731)
43.1% (758)
+9.3%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
50.3% (147)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
34.6% (26)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Stajan is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Stajan shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Stajan
Gagner
Home
52.9% (427)
47.4% (468)
Away
50.2% (418)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Stajan
Gagner
P1
49.6%
43.8%
P2
53.2%
43.8%
P3
51.5%
44.0%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |