Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.2% vs Gagner 48.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 69.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 87.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 65.8%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Stajan
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stajan
Gagner
Last 6: Stajan 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (395)
47.3% (395)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
50.0% (62)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
50.0% (4)
-2.4%
On power play, Stajan has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Stajan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Stajan shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Stajan
Gagner
Home
50.8% (238)
49.4% (267)
Away
52.0% (244)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Stajan
Gagner
P1
56.3%
47.5%
P2
48.8%
48.5%
P3
49.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2017 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |