Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Nichol 58.2% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 63.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 68.1%
Neutral zone
Stajan 65.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Stajan
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Stajan
Nichol
Last 9: Stajan 3-6 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Nichol
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
5
Stajan
Nichol
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
59.0% (948)
-8.8%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
42.9% (14)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
59.5% (185)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Stajan
Nichol
Home
51.3% (3,098)
59.7% (576)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Stajan
Nichol
P1
50.3%
58.4%
P2
48.5%
57.3%
P3
49.4%
61.1%
OT
53.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 24, 2010 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |