Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stajan wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.4% vs Nichol 57.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 71.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 67.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 71.9%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Stajan
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stajan
Nichol
Last 6: Stajan 1-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
4
Stajan
Nichol
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Nichol
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (731)
58.6% (394)
-6.2%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
71.4% (7)
-25.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
61.5% (78)
-13.4%
On power play, Nichol has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Stajan is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Stajan shoots left. Nichol is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Stajan
Nichol
Home
52.9% (427)
56.1% (246)
Away
50.2% (418)
62.8% (239)
By Period
Stajan
Nichol
P1
49.6%
57.7%
P2
53.2%
58.1%
P3
51.5%
62.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 24, 2010 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |