Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kalinin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.1% vs Kalinin 44.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 59.0%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 50.4%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 53.6%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Stajan
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stajan
Kalinin
Last 5: Stajan 2-3 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stajan
Kalinin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kalinin
1
2
Stajan
Kalinin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (627)
41.3% (155)
+9.6%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (126)
38.9% (18)
+8.7%
On power play, Kalinin has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Stajan shoots left. Kalinin is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Stajan
Kalinin
Home
52.4% (401)
42.9% (112)
Away
47.7% (367)
38.7% (62)
By Period
Stajan
Kalinin
P1
56.3%
51.8%
P2
45.5%
32.1%
P3
48.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 10:13 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |