Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.5%). Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 25-20 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 69.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 63.2%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 50.3%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Stajan
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
20
(45 meetings)
25
20
Stajan
Horcoff
Last 10: Stajan 3-7 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
12
10
Stajan
Horcoff
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
6
4
Stajan
Horcoff
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
7
6
Stajan
Horcoff
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
50.6% (3,133)
-0.4%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
51.4% (555)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
43.0% (567)
+3.1%
On power play, Horcoff has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Stajan shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Stajan
Horcoff
Home
51.3% (3,098)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Stajan
Horcoff
P1
50.3%
48.2%
P2
48.5%
49.5%
P3
49.4%
50.9%
OT
53.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2016 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 24, 2015 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 25, 2015 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |