Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.4% vs Horcoff 48.5% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 54.1%
Defensive zone
Stajan 60.4%
Neutral zone
Stajan 59.5%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Stajan
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Stajan
Horcoff
Last 10: Stajan 6-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
5
0
Stajan
Horcoff
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Stajan
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
4
3
Stajan
Horcoff
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (731)
51.8% (581)
+0.6%
Power Play
45.8% (59)
43.2% (125)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
38.1% (84)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Stajan is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Stajan shoots left. Horcoff is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (607).
Home / Away
Stajan
Horcoff
Home
52.9% (427)
49.2% (384)
Away
50.2% (418)
47.6% (429)
By Period
Stajan
Horcoff
P1
49.6%
45.8%
P2
53.2%
48.4%
P3
51.5%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |