Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.3% vs Matthias 46.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 55.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 72.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 60.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Stajan
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stajan
Matthias
Last 5: Stajan 3-2 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
2
Stajan
Matthias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Matthias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (503)
47.2% (142)
+3.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
100.0% (2)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
34.9% (43)
+11.8%
On power play, Matthias has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Stajan is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Stajan shoots left. Matthias is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Stajan
Matthias
Home
55.1% (336)
45.6% (57)
Away
44.4% (266)
44.6% (130)
By Period
Stajan
Matthias
P1
51.3%
54.3%
P2
47.7%
40.0%
P3
52.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |