Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 49.4% vs Gionta 41.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 73.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 85.8%
Neutral zone
Stajan 80.5%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Stajan
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stajan
Gionta
Last 6: Stajan 4-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stajan
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (4,944)
40.6% (1,902)
+9.6%
Power Play
43.2% (176)
61.5% (26)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (864)
40.1% (292)
+6.0%
On power play, Gionta has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Stajan shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Stajan
Gionta
Home
51.3% (3,098)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
47.3% (2,892)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Stajan
Gionta
P1
50.3%
40.8%
P2
48.5%
41.8%
P3
49.4%
39.8%
OT
53.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.9%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |