Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.9%). Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.3% vs Plekanec 49.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 76.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 70.2%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 54.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Stajan
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Stajan
Plekanec
Last 5: Stajan 5-0 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
0
Stajan
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
0
Stajan
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (503)
50.8% (1,214)
+0.3%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
50.5% (190)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
41.8% (153)
+4.9%
On power play, Plekanec has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Stajan is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Stajan shoots left. Plekanec is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (965).
Home / Away
Stajan
Plekanec
Home
55.1% (336)
52.1% (760)
Away
44.4% (266)
47.8% (797)
By Period
Stajan
Plekanec
P1
51.3%
51.3%
P2
47.7%
47.2%
P3
52.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |