Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wingels on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 51.2% vs Wingels 47.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wingels 68.0%
Defensive zone
Wingels 62.1%
Neutral zone
Wingels 61.4%
Result
Tommy Wingels favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Stajan
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stajan
Wingels
Last 7: Stajan 2-5 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
1
Stajan
Wingels
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Wingels
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
3
Stajan
Wingels
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (395)
46.6% (388)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
53.8% (13)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
42.6% (54)
+5.0%
On power play, Stajan has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Stajan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Stajan shoots left. Wingels is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Stajan
Wingels
Home
50.8% (238)
46.6% (191)
Away
52.0% (244)
46.2% (264)
By Period
Stajan
Wingels
P1
56.3%
49.0%
P2
48.8%
41.8%
P3
49.4%
48.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.5%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Tommy Wingels |