Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.3% vs Smith 51.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 76.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 55.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 68.0%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Stajan
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Stajan
Smith
Last 7: Stajan 6-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
0
Stajan
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
0
Stajan
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
1
Stajan
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (503)
53.7% (449)
-2.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
80.0% (10)
-37.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
43.1% (102)
+3.6%
On power play, Smith has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Stajan is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Stajan shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Stajan
Smith
Home
55.1% (336)
55.0% (280)
Away
44.4% (266)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Stajan
Smith
P1
51.3%
52.3%
P2
47.7%
52.1%
P3
52.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2015 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |