Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stajan 50.3% vs Girgensons 44.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 55.1%
Defensive zone
Stajan 81.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 63.4%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Stajan
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stajan
Girgensons
Last 5: Stajan 4-1 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Stajan
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
4
0
Stajan
Girgensons
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stajan
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (503)
43.8% (762)
+7.3%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
45.9% (122)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
43.1% (116)
+3.6%
On even strength, Stajan has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stajan is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Stajan shoots left. Girgensons is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (628).
Home / Away
Stajan
Girgensons
Home
55.1% (336)
44.5% (551)
Away
44.4% (266)
43.4% (449)
By Period
Stajan
Girgensons
P1
51.3%
41.3%
P2
47.7%
43.0%
P3
52.4%
47.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |