Scouting Report
Matthew Lombardi holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lombardi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lombardi 49.5% vs Horak 43.1% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lombardi 68.1%
Defensive zone
Lombardi 55.3%
Neutral zone
Lombardi 58.2%
Result
Matthew Lombardi favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Lombardi
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lombardi
Horak
Last 7: Lombardi 4-3 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horak
0
1
Lombardi
Horak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lombardi
4
2
Lombardi
Horak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lombardi
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (260)
40.1% (399)
+10.7%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
53.8% (26)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
50.0% (14)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Lombardi is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Lombardi shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Lombardi
Horak
Home
49.2% (177)
40.5% (227)
Away
49.6% (129)
42.5% (214)
By Period
Lombardi
Horak
P1
49.5%
42.3%
P2
53.9%
40.5%
P3
45.1%
41.5%
Final 5 min
43.1%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
49.3%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 01:11 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Roman Horak |