Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lombardi wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lombardi 46.1% vs Getzlaf 48.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lombardi 72.0%
Defensive zone
Lombardi 50.7%
Neutral zone
Lombardi 56.9%
Result
Matthew Lombardi favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Lombardi
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lombardi
Getzlaf
Last 6: Lombardi 2-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lombardi
1
0
Lombardi
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
4
Lombardi
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lombardi
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (203)
48.1% (607)
-1.3%
Power Play
33.3% (27)
52.2% (67)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
43.1% (65)
-26.4%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Lombardi is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Lombardi shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Lombardi
Getzlaf
Home
44.0% (109)
51.2% (326)
Away
44.9% (127)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Lombardi
Getzlaf
P1
47.0%
50.2%
P2
42.2%
47.9%
P3
43.5%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
44.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2013 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |