Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lombardi on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lombardi wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lombardi 48.0% vs Smith 50.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 59.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 81.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 69.8%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Lombardi
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lombardi
Smith
Last 8: Lombardi 6-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lombardi
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lombardi
1
0
Lombardi
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lombardi
3
0
Lombardi
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lombardi
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (489)
51.6% (5,265)
-2.3%
Power Play
39.6% (48)
51.2% (342)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
45.3% (985)
-8.9%
On power play, Smith has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lombardi is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Lombardi shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Lombardi
Smith
Home
47.4% (304)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
47.9% (267)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Lombardi
Smith
P1
49.0%
49.9%
P2
49.5%
50.0%
P3
44.0%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
47.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Zack Smith |