Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.9%). Look for Lombardi on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lombardi 49.5% vs Smith 49.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lombardi 65.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 69.4%
Neutral zone
Lombardi 52.4%
Result
Matthew Lombardi favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lombardi
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Lombardi
Smith
Last 8: Lombardi 6-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lombardi
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lombardi
1
0
Lombardi
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lombardi
3
0
Lombardi
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lombardi
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (260)
48.0% (761)
+2.8%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
70.4% (27)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
49.5% (196)
-11.0%
On power play, Smith has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lombardi is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Lombardi shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Lombardi
Smith
Home
49.2% (177)
49.9% (523)
Away
49.6% (129)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Lombardi
Smith
P1
49.5%
47.5%
P2
53.9%
50.4%
P3
45.1%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
43.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
49.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Zack Smith |