Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.6% vs Peca 54.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 75.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 68.2%
Neutral zone
Peca 54.9%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Sutter
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sutter
Peca
Last 7: Sutter 5-2 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peca
0
1
Sutter
Peca
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
Peca
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Peca
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (846)
57.8% (116)
-5.0%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
0.0% (2)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (241)
57.9% (19)
-10.6%
On power play, Sutter has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Sutter is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Sutter shoots right. Peca is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Sutter
Peca
Home
51.2% (529)
23.5% (17)
Away
52.2% (573)
61.7% (120)
By Period
Sutter
Peca
P1
50.9%
55.0%
P2
52.8%
58.3%
P3
52.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.7%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
51.7%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |