Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Peca on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Peca shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.9% vs Peca 54.0% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 60.3%
Defensive zone
Peca 79.8%
Neutral zone
Peca 70.7%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Giroux
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Giroux
Peca
Last 5: Giroux 1-4 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Peca
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
0
4
Giroux
Peca
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (675)
57.8% (116)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.1% (316)
0.0% (2)
+60.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (97)
57.9% (19)
-7.4%
On power play, Giroux has a +60.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Giroux is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Giroux shoots right. Peca is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Giroux
Peca
Home
61.1% (529)
23.5% (17)
Away
56.4% (559)
61.7% (120)
By Period
Giroux
Peca
P1
56.3%
55.0%
P2
62.6%
58.3%
P3
56.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.4%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.6%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |