Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.9% vs Peca 54.0% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 51.3%
Defensive zone
Peca 80.8%
Neutral zone
Peca 59.5%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Jankowski
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Jankowski
Peca
Last 9: Jankowski 6-3 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Peca
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Peca
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Jankowski
Peca
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
57.8% (116)
-8.3%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
0.0% (2)
+53.1%
Penalty Kill
28.1% (32)
57.9% (19)
-29.8%
On power play, Jankowski has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Jankowski is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Jankowski shoots left. Peca is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Peca
Home
50.4% (399)
23.5% (17)
Away
47.2% (411)
61.7% (120)
By Period
Jankowski
Peca
P1
49.4%
55.0%
P2
48.7%
58.3%
P3
48.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |