Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Peca wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 54.0% vs Monahan 50.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.4%
Defensive zone
Peca 77.5%
Neutral zone
Peca 58.8%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Peca
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Peca
Monahan
Last 5: Peca 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peca
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
2
0
Peca
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
1
0
Peca
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (116)
51.0% (1,063)
+6.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
49.4% (314)
-49.4%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
40.0% (30)
+17.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Peca is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Peca shoots left. Monahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
Peca
Monahan
Home
23.5% (17)
53.8% (705)
Away
61.7% (120)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Peca
Monahan
P1
55.0%
47.3%
P2
58.3%
53.9%
P3
57.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
64.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
56.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |