Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Peca wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 52.0% vs Blueger 45.7% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 52.5%
Defensive zone
Blueger 83.5%
Neutral zone
Blueger 60.3%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Peca
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Peca
Blueger
Last 6: Peca 2-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Peca
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
3
Peca
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (73)
48.1% (653)
+9.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
29.6% (27)
-29.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
38.1% (210)
-13.1%
On power play, Blueger has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Peca is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Peca shoots left. Blueger is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Peca
Blueger
Home
72.2% (18)
45.5% (473)
Away
49.2% (61)
44.8% (417)
By Period
Peca
Blueger
P1
62.1%
48.0%
P2
41.7%
44.9%
P3
57.7%
43.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
54.4%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |