Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Peca wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 50.2% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 70.7%
Defensive zone
Bozak 53.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 57.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Peca
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Peca
Bozak
Last 5: Peca 3-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Peca
1
0
Peca
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peca
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Peca
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (423)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.2%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
55.2% (1,990)
-42.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
48.0% (1,094)
-3.8%
On power play, Bozak has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Peca is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Peca shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Peca
Bozak
Home
46.1% (193)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
53.0% (281)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Peca
Bozak
P1
56.6%
53.2%
P2
44.4%
52.8%
P3
50.3%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |