Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.4% vs 40.6%). Look for Carlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Janmark shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Janmark 43.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 52.6%
Defensive zone
Janmark 50.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 55.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Carlsson
Janmark
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Carlsson
Janmark
Last 7: Carlsson 5-2 Janmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Janmark
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Janmark
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Janmark
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Janmark
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
40.8% (213)
+1.0%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
0.0% (1)
+37.3%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
40.0% (25)
-1.3%
On power play, Carlsson has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Janmark shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Janmark is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Janmark
Home
44.5% (362)
44.1% (111)
Away
38.3% (368)
37.5% (128)
By Period
Carlsson
Janmark
P1
46.3%
34.6%
P2
35.1%
41.5%
P3
43.9%
45.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |