Mattias Janmark vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 47.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 63.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 88.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 69.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Janmark
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Janmark
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
0
Janmark
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (19)
50.1% (891)
-13.3%
On even strength, Backlund has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Janmark is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Janmark shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Janmark
Backlund
Home
41.7% (12)
48.1% (580)
Away
28.6% (7)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Janmark
Backlund
P1
16.7%
45.1%
P2
45.5%
54.7%
P3
50.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
66.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
36.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |